Researchers Identify Suspicious Activity on Kalshi and Polymarket Before Times/Siena Poll Release

If you trade on prediction markets, you may be exposed to information asymmetry.

Researchers detected suspicious trading activity on Kalshi and Polymarket just before the release of a Times/Siena poll concerning two Senate races.

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Suspicious trading activity was noted on prediction markets before a poll's release. It remains uncertain whether the trades were based on insider information or astute market prediction, raising questions about market integrity.